水木社区手机版
- 主题:Donald Trump在6个摇摆州的民调领先，FoxNews报道。
- 数据来源是Real Clear Politics Average。不过，两人的差距很小。除了密歇根州外，民调差距都不超过0.5%。
--
修改:wahrheit FROM 110.52.220.*
FROM 175.0.224.* - NBC与CNN的竞选报道。
If 2024 polling errors mirror those in 2020 election, Trump ‘wins in a blowout’, warns CNN data guru
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said that if the 2024 presidential election polls are as off as they were in 2020, former President Trump "wins in a blowout."
--
修改:wahrheit FROM 110.52.220.*
FROM 110.52.220.* - 值得注意的是，美国的工会组织以往大多是支持Dems候选人，大选中工会成员也多投票给Dems候选人。
但是今年，像International Brotherhood of Teamsters，和International Association of Fire Fighters这样有影响力的大型工会，却决定不支持任何候选人（decline to endorse a candidate）。
这在中西部的几个关键摇摆州，可能会对选情产生重大作用。
--
修改:wahrheit FROM 110.52.220.*
FROM 110.52.220.* - 连CBS这样的左翼媒体都承认,Trump在亚利桑那州的民调领先3%，看来他在亚利桑那州稳赢了。
亚利桑那州是边境州，所以选民特别在意边境安全与非法移民的问题，这是Trump领先的重要原因。
Donald Trump has a slight 3-point edge over Kamala Harris in Arizona, boosted by the issues of the economy and the border. Voters think Trump's policies would put the interests of U.S. citizens ahead of recent immigrants, where many feel Harris' policies would not. And Trump's idea of deporting all illegal immigrants in the U.S. is supported by more than half of Arizona voters.
--
修改:wahrheit FROM 110.52.220.*
FROM 110.52.220.*